IGAD-led peace has failed: It’s about time to invite Pres. Omar Bashir to bring lasting peace to South Sudan

BY: J. NGUEN, Canada, MAR/14/2015, SSN;

The value of this honest proposal is humanistic, logical and politically mature. If implemented, will have positive impacts in finding lasting peace in South Sudan and people can once again be at peace. Warmongers will perceive this as a short-sighted because their familiarity with South Sudan and Sudan politics is limited and their scope of understanding is informed by what they gain when this war continued.

Some might disagree with this proposal because they have axes to grind with Sudanese people (north and south) and want no peace to return to South Sudan whatsoever.

Logically, one of the benefits of this proposal is that it will bring normalcy to people’s lives and also prevent imminent collapse of the nation.

President Omar Bashir is a heavyweight political machine as far as South Sudan normalcy is concerned. We can no longer afford ignoring this reality.

To achieve a meaningful in South Sudan, President Bashir of Sudan, the Troika..i.e United Kingdom, Norway and United States must be involved. This is demanded of South Sudanese people since there was no progress in the peace talk and no consequences against those who obstructed peace.

At this point, I am sure most of us are convinced with the narrative that IGAD led peace wouldn’t prevail some days. The idea that IGAD was a formidable political machine capable of bringing lasting peace to South Sudan was a perfect fallacy and unrealistic.

This has been proven before our watchful eyes. Therefore, it’s about time for Sudanese and the world to do the unthinkable. It’s about time to rationalize South Sudan problem and find local solutions with international and region outlook.

Involving president Bashir to take lead in solving South Sudan problem is a positive initiative in the right direction. Involvement of the Troika countries, Norway, United Kingdom and United States in supportive role and in some decision making is also paramount. These countries are friends of South Sudan and will always be there for us when we needed help. Now, our people need their friendly hands.

The IGAD led peace for South Sudan has failed because most of the IGAD’s member states only positioned their representatives in South Sudan’s peace talks only for economic purposes. Call it economic gain if you may.

The IGAD intention was not to bring lasting peace to South Sudan but prolongation of war in order to prolong financial exploitation of South Sudan. This is the dominant motive behind the Uganda president involvement in South Sudan internal affairs.

While Kenya and Ethiopia on the other hand have the same interests using subsidiaries as third parties and back door deals to achieve the same financial ends. If for the same reason that IGAD never enforced any threat.

The problem we have in south Sudan needs sound approach and openness in order to find an amicable solution. This cannot be achieved with current approach because the prorogation is wrong.

Similarly, this sound approach will be counterproductive when only extoling current false political elites in South Sudan. The South Sudanese people are glad that IGAD’s head negotiator has admitted that the past approach aimed to bringing peace to South Sudan is wrong and must be altered.

The current governance in South Sudan is too “deformed to be reformed.” For one, South Sudan as a nation is led by a weak and incompetence president. The South Sudan self-serving political class is splintered on tribal basis.

For instance, the G10 and the SPLM/A led by Dr. Riek are currently caught up in rather premature egocentric politics. Simply because the G10 has an axe to grind with Dr. Riek on personal basis and this led to rather a weak opposition.

President Kiir on the other hand has surrounded himself with ineffective tribal hooligans. This state of affairs opened South Sudan up to wolves and serious exploitation by well-established hyenas looking for profitable financial carcasses. The losers at the end of the day are the common South Sudanese people.

Since December 2013, President Kiir has lost constitutional legitimacy after administering the gruesome massacre of the Nuer nationality in the State capital, Juba. A heinous crime ever committed in the 21th century.

Now, the nation has no national army to keep Kiir and cronies afloat. Kiir opted for Uganda’s UPDF’s desperate offer and aimed only for financial prosperity. This useless deal is now keeping Kiir and disgruntled politicians around him afloat by using South Sudan’s petro-dollars while the country’s national identity goes to waste.

For Kenya and Ethiopia, South Sudan’s financial district around the country is run by the Kenya Commercial Bank (KCB) and this has helped Kenya with immense financial growth in its GDP in the past 5 years. Therefore President Kenyatta is determined to keep this status quo alive whatever it takes without any humanistic remorse to the suffering South Sudanese civilians caught up in the senseless civil war.

Besides, every tea shop and water supply in South Sudan is owned and run by Ethiopian nationals. This gives Ethiopia as a country a financial incentive than ever before while South Sudanese citizens languish in the UN bases internally and in the neighboring countries.

Therefore, the only strategic plan used by Uganda, Kenya and Uganda is keeping our people engaged militarily while they continue exploiting the nation wealth.

Dr. Riek and his group plus the G10 have no financial capacities to strike the balance of the petro-dollars used by President Kiir, but instead, depend on handouts from goodwill friends. Because of this, the G10 and the SPLM/A-IO lack political influences over IGAD’s member States.

In fact, G10 is in the worse position compared to SPLM-IO. The group’s survival depends on President Kenyatta’s handouts and they lack political independence and in the course of this conflict will never flex political muscles.

In the view of Kiir and Dr. Riek’s factions, this group is misguided representing political paupers to say the least. The group has no military base anywhere in South Sudan to resort to should roundtable solution withered away like it has.

In the recent past, G10 has used angel-like politics to win supports from the international community particularly the TROIKA and the US but this has failed even though the group back- stabbed Dr. Riek and his SPLM/A -IO after the movement fought fiercely to secure their release from prison.

It was even alleged that Pagan Amum, the leader of G10 has stated that the killing of the Nuer civilians in their thousands should not take the country to civil war. If this is true, the question one needs to ask is what can take a country to war then if peoples’ lives no longer matters?

The South Sudan peace negotiation led by IGAD has failed and the country is now at a free fall. Precisely, the badly needed peace is no more even with strong support from the Troika countries and the United States.

As a result, empty political bickering from IGAD has taken a centre stage but counterproductive as usual. I should say, IGAD is good for nothing and can never be a vanguard to salvage a meaningful peace for my people.

They are toothless and their interests are solely financially motivated and the organization lacks financial and political leverages to stand it grounds.

For the last 15 months of South Sudan conflict, IGAD has made empty numerous political posturing of severe consequences against Dr. Riek and President Kiir Mayardit should peace fail.

Sadly, the result of such threats is that both parties showed defiance and failed to agree on every talking point. Also both warring parties have continued to dishonour signed cessation of hostilities and no single threat of severe consequences from IGAD has been actualized.

As it appears, IGAD made some of these threats against Kiir and Machar after being instructed to do so by TROIKA countries and United States. To date, IGAD has no tangible Plan B should South Sudan’s peace negotiation fail like it has.

All we heard time and again are endless empty political bickering of wanting to protect South Sudanese civilians caught up in the middle of the war.

On the 6th of March 2015, finally, a nail on the coffin was transfixed on South Sudan peace process. South Sudan’s peace process was indefinitely suspended by IGAD’s mediator citing disagreement over every major issue on the menu.

This is expected and every South Sudanese that I know of knew from the onset that IGAD peace process is doomed and destined to fail. The pronouncement made by IGAD only validates our common man’s knowledge on the matter.

As I write, there is no hope for peace anytime soon in South Sudan. Fighting between the two warring parties has resumed and suffering of civilians continues unabated. Death is relentless and no negotiation is expected in the near future. This is disappointing and must not be allowed to continue.

Therefore, to find the solution, there is only one avenue that has not been tapped, Sudan. Sudan has been ignored due to its president’s bad relations with the West and yet this country stands a good chance of bringing lasting peace to South Sudan if utilized effectively.

Sudan as a country is an IGAD’s member State but her president, Omar Al Bashir has been isolated due to indictment by the International Criminal Court regarding the Darfur issue.

Sadly however, the Darfur rebels and its northern Sudanese allies, the SPLM/A -North rebels have proven to be bad partners and merciless bandits who cannot be trusted. They are involved into South Sudan tribal killings as mercenaries.

As I write, they are fighting alongside a genocidal regime of president Kiir; a government that trained and armed troops to carry out the massacre of defenseless civilians on December 2013.

This showed that the Darfur rebel groups have lost their good political stand at the international stage and deserve no political and moral supports from anyone but instead ought to be condemned in the strongest terms possible for aiding in the death of South Sudan civilians.

As such President Omar Bashir should no longer be held back from playing an instrumental role in South Sudan crisis because of these trivial mercenaries/rebel groups issues.

As far as South Sudan’s crisis is concerned, Sudan’s president holds a very unique and important position. If utilized and given the leading role, he can have a positive and far lethal influence over both Salva Kiir and Dr. Riek Machar financially and politically. This is what is lacking with the Ethiopia’s Prime Minister and Kenya but needed for peace to succeed in South Sudan.

If truth be told, the Republic of Sudan under President Bashir is the financier and life line of President Kiir and by extension the Uganda People Defense Forces (UPDF) and the SPLM/A-North, and in part the SPLM/A –IO led by Dr. Riek, according to Hon. Henry Odwar.

Sudan as a country has both political and financial leverage over these conflicting groups in South Sudan. The Ethiopians, Kenyans and Ugandans have zero leverage to gamble with.

Evidently, the Republic of Sudan allowed President Kiir to collect millions of dollars from oil production which flows through Port Sudan to the international market. Subsequently, President Kiir hired the UPDF and various Sudanese rebel groups to fight for him and against the SPLM/A rebels.

The same Sudanese rebel groups funded by President Kiir are the same group that fight President Bashir in the Nuba Mountains, the Blue Nile and the Darfur respectively. In reality, one needs no political science degree to figure out that President Bashir is directly or indirectly financing those who wanted to oust him by force from office.

President Bashir’s financial assistance to Kiir made president Kiir intransigent and refuses to make concessions in the peace process. If President Bashir takes the leading role in South Sudan peace talks, he can use this advantage to strangulate Kiir in case he decided to drag his feet and refused to compromise.

For SPLM/A-IO, if Hon. Henry Odwar’s utterance on the Canadian public Agency Channel early this month were true, that the SPLM/A-IO is receiving military backing from Sudan to counter Uganda involvement, then, it’s paramount to use president Bashir’s influence to bring both parties together or else.

In comparison, the Ethiopian’s Prime Minister is toothless and lacks political and financial leverages over the warring parties. For example, at any rate, if Kiir and Dr. Riek refused to negotiate peace in good faith, President Bashir can actually stop the flow of oil and support of the SPLM/A-IO if the allegation were true.

These can have positive and paralyzing influence both on the government of South Sudan under Salva and the rebels. As a result, the financial incentive for the UPDF will cease and they will call it quits while the Northern Sudan rebels’ support for Kiir will run short of supply.

On the same token, the SPLM/A-IO under Dr. Riek Machar can suffer the same fate.

This plan would be the quickest, efficient and paralyzing influence the world needs to solve South Sudan crisis. President Bashir is the only hope and paralyzing influence required to curb the rampage and intransigence of the warring parties.

Thus, without President Bashir, the Troika countries, United Kingdom and United States involvement, the pending UN’s sanctions and the Ethiopian’s Prime Minister’s empty threats will not help solve the South Sudan conflict.

Therefore, I call on the International Community and the Africa Union to endorse and support president Bashir to take leading role in efforts to bring lasting peace to South Sudan

J. Nguen is a concerned South Sudanese living in Canada. He can be reached at jamesnguen@gmail.com

22 Comments

  1. AGUMUT says:

    Wrong ideas because Bashir is going to occupy jobs in the South if he brings peace.

  2. Mawien Magol says:

    The Idiocy of Southern Sudanese who are current living from the exile in Canada are thinking involved their mastermind of Omar al Bashir will bring pace in Young nation. It is not surprised anyone to see J. Nguen is requesting the Khartoum’s government which have had been arming rebels since they left Juba after failed coup attempted in the last 15 Months ago. I have to tell you that, the Northern Sudanese leader don’t care any more about South Sudan but they would like to sees Southern Sudanese people are more divided and more killing to continues so that, they can keep consistency their sicken notion that, these Southern Sudanese people can not rule themselves which is wrong Idea. Before anything happen in Juba, the former vice president Riek Machar made a called on his best friend Omar al Bashir asking him to support him if there is anything happen in South Sudan’s government and immediately, he did called Khartoum’s government to back him up until Today, they are supplies weapons, tanks and many others kinds to Southern Sudanese rebels and they also offers training camps in South Kordfan State and the Western Kordfan.State. You can go ahead calling them but you must site together as one enemy of Southern Sudanese.

    • Mawien Magol,

      The visionless, clueless, and drunkard Dinka president has been to Khartoum more than ten times since the war broke out in Juba in December 2013, begging Omar Hassan Ahmad Al Bashir for help in fighting against the rebels. Making while lies against Dr. Riek Machar and Nuer will never keep you in power for life as you are wishing for. Dr. Machar and Nuer will never allow colonization and re-colonization of South Sudanese take root in South Sudan. Your heavy drinking of alcohol and nose bleeding will never help you get ride of Dr. Machar.

  3. Tutbol says:

    Has Al Bashir resolved his own problems in Darfur, Southern Khordupan and Southern Blue Nile, to resolve South Sudan’s problems? Nuers’ stupidity and lack of critical analsis of things often stand-out LOL!. Fight the war to get to power, that is what you dumbies have been after and have been singing all along.

    North Sudan to switch-off the oil pipe lines to starve-off the government of South Sudan’s with cash and then the Ugandans will leave South Sudan and then the Nuers will remove Salva Kiir from power and instal in their prophet, Riek Machar as a president of South Sudan? What do Nuers smoke really? When your 1991 first armed was squashed and you dumbies and prophet Riek Machar were fought to your Nuers’ heartland until you surrendered yourselves to North Sudan, the South Sudanese people arch enemy; were there a single Ugandan aiding the SPLA? Absolutely none.

    The Nuers are plainly told, their Riek Machar prophet and his other Nuer sociopaths are not going to get away with murders this time, they must pay for their crimes.

  4. jess tobi says:

    Kiir and Riak are stupid and are not leaders but want to be power instead of caring for the people of south sudan

    • Jess Tobi,

      It is not Kiir and Riek that are stupid, but you are the most stupid one. A wise person never balance the blame as no two people ever equally right or equally wrong in the face of judge. Never try to balance the blame even if your goats fight, you must know which goat is being bullied to other goats. People who balance the blame are natural fools or they may have different agenda.

  5. son of man says:

    The only way is we south sudanese kicking the hell out of these two just that i.e thru peaceful demonstration doesn’t need bashir or whosoever just that

  6. Hoiloom says:

    Tutbol or Tut-Liel, why don’t you address the author instead of abusing the Nuer nation? If UPDF is not the main factor of Salva Kiir’s stay in power why don’t you cowards ask them to withdraw so we can resolve our differences as Southerners if you are as brave as you portray on the website? All South Sudanese have come to learn your weakness, you’re being protected by mercenaries instead of doing the fighting yourselves but don’t worry they will leave. We’ll never let the sovereignty of our country be sold to Uganda..keep licking their boots.

  7. Majongdit says:

    Look at this slave! I always pity Joseph Nguen. He is completely brain-washed by ‘ful misir’ of the Jalaba. When the children of Isreal left Cairo for the land of Canaan, some of them turned against Moses crying “why did you take us out of Cairo. Now we are missing onions, bread….etc” They didn’t know just ahead there was going to manna.
    Those of Joseph Nguen already turn to idol gods….they can’t wait…..they think there can be no South Sudan any more.
    But we shall always stand up, look them in the eye and tell them that “we separated from Sudan without looking back”. We don’t need their solutions because they are part of the problem of this country.

    • Nuer-Another Israel in East Africa says:

      Majongdit,

      Why don’t you first understand when to employ the word or term, Slave? What does it mean to you? Find out the definition of it first so you can make yourself understandable to the readers. At least James Nguen came up with suggestion or some way forward even if it might not work. What is your way forward Mr. Majongdit? Before Kiir collapse in Khartoum, what was he requesting Bashir to do? Why go to Khartoum in the first place when Khartoum is your prime enemy? Your are demeaning James Nguen for suggesting a way forward while you are running behind him in hope of snatching his idea from him. Isn’t this so pathetic?

  8. Teach-The-Fools says:

    Thank you Tutbol,

    J. Nguen might be suffering from dementia to the core that he can’t reasoned beyond his nose. How can Al-Bashir be influential bringing significant peace to the South when he is clearly one of staunch critics who want to see South Sudan fail? The fools will never understand that one of the objectives Bashier provides the rebels with sophisticated weapons they were boasting about months ago is to destabilize South Sudan as a viable nation; the aim Al-Bashir has stated more than once in his interviews.

    For God’s sake, I don’t know what J. Nguen was thinking when he suggested president Bashir should sit across the table together with the Troika countries, United States, or UN to negotiate South Sudan peace. Does he even put into consideration the fact that the Troika countries he is talking about plus the ICC, the U.N, and the United States are the same? Obviously, the ICC indicted Bashir with all of these aforementioned bodies in support….. and that is why currently president Bashir can’t step his stingy feet in their soils.

    I believe these kind of writings are results of fear of not knowing what might transpire on the ground as fightings intensifies. Do not chicken out yet, I heard you used to organized rallies in Canada boosting morale for the White Army to defeat government militarily. Is it smelling filthy yet?

  9. Nuer-Another Israel in East Africa says:

    Fools,

    Your IGAD has failed flatly to bring peace to South Sudan notwithstanding the intensive lobbying done by Museveni to completely do away with Nuer. Shouldn’t it be time to try something different since it has proven difficult to extinct Nuer? Yes, Bashir has interest in South Sudan. There is no doubt here. He wants South Sudan to remain in turmoil and he is succeeding thus far. You made his dream come true by murdering your own people, the Nuer because their son show interest of running for Presidency. Seemingly, you don’t want Troika countries to participate in bringing peace to South Sudan again — for the second time. Ironically, when Troika negotiated a CPA for us leading to South Sudan’s independent, there was no fuss. Now, what changed suddenly? You instead want Russian and China to participate in peace negotiation, where were they when we were batlling Khartoum for 55 years or more? Where were China and Russian in 2005? Where was US in 2005, wasn’t US the one bullying Bashir to accept signing CPA? Let us be serious..

    Now, James Nguen has made some suggestion as mean to resolved this imposed war of Kiir, where is your suggestion?

    • Teach-The-Fools says:

      Nuer…Joking in East Africa,

      I have never banked my hope on IGAD or any foreign countries to bring viable peace in South Sudan. My resolution has always and will always remains ‘home grown’. We brought this mess upon ourselves and it would be ludicrous and insensitive to think that someone somewhere will magically performs whims bringing us__worst that Bashir is thought to be one. How naïve!

      Dr. Machar was too ambitious or should I say too greedy to grab power by all means even if it was going to reduce the country into ashes. There you have it! Too bad your warlord son is trapped in Ethiopians hotels without knowing what to do next.

      Until the likes of you come to senses and speak like citizens of this country, it will take a bit longer before real peace is realized. South Sudanese are tired of ‘mighty white’ or ‘mighty black’ or Ngundeng shit.

      • Teach-The-Fools says:

        When the US negotiated 2005 CPA with Bashir and Dr. John, was president Bashir indicted yet of war crimes? Bashir hands are stained with blood and so does Dr. Riek and they both should be hanged!…. leave alone negotiating peace….

        • Nuer-Another Israel in East Africa says:

          Fools,

          Even though you are my foe, I see eye to eye with you on the solution of our problem. It is not somewhere else; it is surely with us at home which you termed as “home grown solution”. Nothing to repudiate here because it is the truth. Nuer and Dinka are brothers and therefore should sit down in their house and find a solution to their own problem instead of blaming it on others who have their own problems in their houses. Now, it has become complicated after you invited the entire East Africa and North Africa to fight your own brother, the Nuer. Where is the brotherhood here my friend? Because you invited foreigners to take side on our brotherly problem, the situation become much twisted than it was. This is why Bashir and USA and others come into play. Kenya is now on the move to take some part of our land while you are fighting your brother with their help. Indeed, the solution is home grown.

          • Nuer-Another Israel in East Africa says:

            Not at all. When US negotiated the 2005 CPA, Bashir wasn’t indicted yet. You should also know that US has an embassy in Khartoum. What does that tell you? If it is a sin for US to connect with those whose hands are tainted with blood, Kenyatta was indicted and many others. You are also talking about Dr. Machar and Bashir, what about Salva Kiir who has commited genocide in Juba? His he cleans because he is one of your tribe men? A pot cannot call kettle black… Be clean first before you accuse others of the same crime you committed.

        • Fools,

          Since you are truly fools Dinka boy like Kiir, I have to tell you if there are people to be hanged in South Sudan , they should be Kiir, Malong, Kuol Mayang, and Marial Cinuong for murdering civilians indiscriminately.

  10. Numberless says:

    Hi people it is real a shame for some of you to be posting on such important media as this. Yet you keep on insulting each other based on your tribe…….you do not even realize your broken command of English……Quote: Tutbol…….Has Al Bashir resolved his own problems in Darfur, Southern Khordupan and Southern Blue Nile, to resolve South Sudan’s problems? Nuers’ stupidity and lack of critical analsis of things often stand-out LOL!. Fight the war to get to power, that is what you dumbies have been after and have been singing all along. Kordofan…… NOT Khordupan…..go back to class to re-pronounce F correctly to avoid misplacing P & F

    And Mawien Magol: Same thing….your language is likewise not suitable……too slippery….derivative of your dialect…….. London is burning!

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